Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Warrington Town	Draw	Chorley
35.18% ( 0.02)	25.67% ( 0.05)	39.14% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.23% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

-0.2)

48.84% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06% (

-0.18)

70.94% (

0.19)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

-0.08)

26.78% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

-0.11)

62.06% (

0.11)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

-0.13)

24.57% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

-0.18)

59.05% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Warrington Town 35.18%

Chorley 39.14%

Draw 25.67%

Warrington Town	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.18%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.14%