National League North | Gameweek 41

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Alfreton

Carline (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
45.72%	26.94% ( -0)	27.34% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.4% (

56.6% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

77.57% (

-0.01)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

24.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

59.24% (

-0.01)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.8%

36.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.02% (

72.98% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 45.71%

Alfreton Town 27.34%

Draw 26.93%

Brackley Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.71%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.34%