National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jason Cowley 9' goal
  • Alex Babos 63' goal
  • Aaron Skinner 90'+5' goal
  • goal Jake Day 15'
  • goal Billy Fewster 30'
  • goal Kennedy Digie 35'

Hereford United vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Hereford 0 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jason Cowley

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Farsley Celtic 2 - 3 Alfreton
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 38.9% (+0.07)
Draw 26.33%
Alfreton Town 34.77% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.97% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.29%
Under 2.5 51.71% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.51% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.49% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.33%
Under 4.5 87.67%

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 73.99% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.01% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.96% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 61.04% (-0.05)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.59% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.41% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.84% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 64.16% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Hereford United 38.9%
Draw 26.33%
Alfreton Town 34.77%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.95% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.33%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.77%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jordan Thewlis 65' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 73' goal
  • Jake Day 89' goal
  • goal Alex Babos 54'
National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Bailey Hobson 7' goal
  • goal Ryan McLean 24'
National League North Gameweek 35
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ryan Lloyd 80' goal
  • goal Bailey Hobson 20'
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 45'+2'
National League North Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Bailey Hobson 3' goal
  • Rob Evans 42' goal
  • Elliott Reeves 79' goal
  • goal Miles Storey 40'
  • goal Miles Storey 62'
  • goal Luke Haines 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 39
May 8, 2021 3.00pm