Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.