Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Banbury United win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.