Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.