National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • goal Gerry McDonagh 47'
  • redcard George Cantrill 88'
  • goal Jake Day 90'+2'

Darlington vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Brackley Town 1 - 0 Darlington
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Cameron Salkeld

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Curzon Ashton 2 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Darlington 31.12% (-0.01)
Draw 26.91% (-0.02)
Alfreton Town 41.97% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.14% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.87% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 23.84% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 76.16% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 10.63% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.37% (-0.04)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 67.6% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.41% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.08% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.92% (-0.04)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.19% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.82% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.23% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 60.77% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Darlington 31.12%
Draw 26.91%
Alfreton Town 41.96%
Darlington
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.91%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.64% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.96%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jake Day 49' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 80' goal
  • goal Andrew Nelson 17'
  • goal Finlay Barnes 66'
  • goal Finlay Barnes 72'
National League North Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Matt Rhead 45' goal
  • Yusifu Ceesay 72' goal
  • goal Jacob Hazel 5'
  • goal Kaine Felix 17'
National League North Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Joe Leesley 22' goal
  • Jacob Hazel 25' goal
  • Kaine Felix 90'+12' goal
  • goal Jake Lawlor 85' (OG)
National League North Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Will Hatfield 59' goal
  • Will Hatfield 84' goal
  • goal Adam Lund 27'
  • goal Tom Allan 36'
  • goal Dayle Southwell 52'
National League North Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm