National League North | Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Alfreton Town

Curzon Ashton
2 - 1
Alfreton

Kenyon (10'), Barton (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Clackstone (20')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-3 Buxton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
43.68% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.36% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)29.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)53.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)74.72% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.024999999999991 0.02)24.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)58.5% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.36% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.87% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 43.68%
    Alfreton Town 29.96%
    Draw 26.36%
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.96%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Curzon Ashton
0-1
Alfreton
Rhead (61' pen.)
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Alfreton
1-2
Curzon Ashton
Thewlis (2')
Peers (31'), Spencer (78')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Alfreton
4-2
Curzon Ashton
Rhead (15' pen., 79' pen.), Salmon (29'), Smith (44')
Peers (42' pen.), Whitham (68')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Curzon Ashton
1-2
Alfreton
Hobson (77')
Hobson (1'), Hackford (46')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
P-P
Curzon Ashton