Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.