National League North | Gameweek 32
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
0 - 3
Buxton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Osborne (55', 65'), McCourt (60' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rushall Olympic 2-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBuxton
48.82% (0.294 0.29)26.36% (0.317 0.32)24.81% (-0.61 -0.61)
Both teams to score 47.66% (-1.444 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (-1.608 -1.61)56.08% (1.609 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (-1.321 -1.32)77.16% (1.322 1.32)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)23.02% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.812 -0.81)56.83% (0.812 0.81)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91% (-1.425 -1.43)38.09% (1.427 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (-1.405 -1.41)74.86% (1.405 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 48.82%
    Buxton 24.81%
    Draw 26.36%
Curzon AshtonDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 12.87% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.277 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.529 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 24.81%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Buxton
1-1
Curzon Ashton
Smart (17')
Matthews (80')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Buxton
Hancock (53', 54')
Boden (19')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Buxton
1-0
Curzon Ashton
De Girolamo (71' pen.)