Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.