National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Jack Hazlehurst 16'

Hereford United vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
P'boro Sports 1 - 4 Hereford
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jason Cowley

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Bishop's Stortford 1 - 4 Chorley
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Carlton Ubaezuonu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 41.12% (+0.43)
Draw 25.8% (-0.10)
Chorley 33.08% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.19% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 49.8% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 28.19% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 71.81% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 13.44% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 86.56% (-0.19)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 76.02% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 23.97% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 41.78% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 58.21% (-0.52)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 71.46% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 28.54% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 64.33% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hereford United 41.12%
Draw 25.8%
Chorley 33.08%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.98% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.17% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.32% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.49% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 41.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
Chorley
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.08%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Sampson 79' goal
  • goal Jack Tolley 55'
  • goal Jack Tolley 56'
  • goal Alex Babos 75'
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jonathan Ustabasi 51' goal
  • Connor Hall 53' goal
National League North Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Marco Rus 62' goal
  • goal Harvey Smith 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Blakeman 58' goal
  • Brad Holmes 65' goal
  • Connor Hall 70' goal
  • goal Jaanai Gordon 14'
  • goal Miles Storey 89'
National League North Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miles Storey 81' goal
National League North Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm