Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Bishop's Stortford	Draw	Chorley
18.45% ( 1.1)	20.94% ( 0.41)	60.61% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 55.83% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

-0.04)

40.94% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67% (

-0.04)

63.33% (

0.04)

Bishop's Stortford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.24% (

1.21)

35.76% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47% (

1.22)

72.53% (

-1.22)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-0.45)

13.08% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.31% (

-0.92)

39.69% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Bishop's Stortford 18.45%

Chorley 60.61%

Draw 20.94%

Bishop's Stortford	Draw	Chorley
2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.45%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.94%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 3.34% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.41% Total : 60.61%