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National League North | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
ProKit UK Stadium
Chorley

Bishop's Stortford
1 - 4
Chorley

Greene (7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Henley (24'), Ellis (34'), Johnson (69' pen.), Calveley (74')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Bishop's Stortford and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 2-1 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Bishop's StortfordDrawChorley
18.45% (1.098 1.1) 20.94% (0.415 0.41) 60.61% (-1.513 -1.51)
Both teams to score 55.83% (0.763 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)40.94% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)63.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Bishop's Stortford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (1.206 1.21)35.76% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (1.221 1.22)72.53% (-1.222 -1.22)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.452 -0.45)13.08% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31% (-0.924 -0.92)39.69% (0.925 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Bishop's Stortford 18.45%
    Chorley 60.61%
    Draw 20.94%
Bishop's StortfordDrawChorley
2-1 @ 5.03% (0.247 0.25)
1-0 @ 4.81% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.47% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.73% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 18.45%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.168 0.17)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.68% (-0.318 -0.32)
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.75% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 6.56% (-0.332 -0.33)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.43% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 3.34% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.36% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 60.61%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Chorley
2-1
Bishop's Stortford
Hazlehurst (8'), Britton (62')
Olufemi (50' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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