Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
3 - 0
Bishop's Stortford

Thewlis (37', 52'), Fewster (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Bishop's Stortford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Bishop's Stortford

All competitions
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-5 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawBishop's Stortford
71.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.72% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)10.67% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.012 0.01)43.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)65.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)10.74% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.3% (0.012 0.01)34.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bishop's Stortford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)83.43% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 71.6%
    Bishop's Stortford 10.67%
    Draw 17.72%
Alfreton TownDrawBishop's Stortford
2-0 @ 12.9%
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 71.6%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 10.67%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bishop's Stortford
0-4
Alfreton

M. (69')
Cantrill (1'), Taylor (60'), Waldock (63'), Thewlis (69' pen.)