Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 73.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Banbury United win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.