National League North
Gameweek
42
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-
Mark Ellis
48'
-
Jack Sampson
45'+6'
-
Mike Calveley
54'
Darlington vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result
Darlington
32.92%
▼
(-0.23)
Draw
25.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Chorley
41.37%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
54.58%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.54%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
49.46%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
28.5%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
71.5%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
13.65%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
86.35%
▲
(+0.13)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5
71.53%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
28.47%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
35.76%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
64.24%
▲
(+0.32)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
76.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
23.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
42.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
57.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Darlington
32.91%
Draw
25.71%
Chorley
41.37%
Darlington
1-0
@
8.48%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.91%
2-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.91%
Draw
1-1
@
12.2%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
0-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
Chorley
0-1
@
9.71%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.37%
1-2 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.37%
Head to Head
National League North
Gameweek
19
-
Mark Ellis
4'
-
Adam Henley
23'
-
Ollie Shenton
27'
-
Justin Johnson
53'
-
Billy Whitehouse
66'
-
Billy Whitehouse
74'
-
David Moyo
83'
-
Billy Whitehouse
90'+3'
National League North
Gameweek
27
-
Connor Hall
58'
-
Connor Hall
78'
-
Jack Sampson
83'
National League North
Gameweek
2
-
C
60'
-
Mark Beck
85'
National League North
Gameweek
29
-
Tyrone O'Neill
27'
-
Jarrett Rivers
54'
-
Will Hatfield
58'
National League North
Gameweek
16
-
Adam Henley
39'
-
Jacob Blyth
81'
-
Jake Cassidy
77'
National League North
Gameweek
39