National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Brewery Field
  • Will Harris 21' goal
  • Rob Ramshaw 26' goal
  • goal Matthew Cornish 16'

Spennymoor Town vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Spennymoor 2 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Will Harris

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Darlington 4 - 0 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Cameron Salkeld

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result

Spennymoor Town 46.81% (+0.09)
Draw 25.26% (-0.04)
Darlington 27.93% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.5% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.3% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 49.69% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 28.29% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 71.71% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 13.51% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.49% (-0.06)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.75% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 21.24% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 45.85% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 54.15% (-0.12)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 67.93% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.06% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.53% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Spennymoor Town 46.81%
Draw 25.26%
Darlington 27.93%
Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.26%
Darlington
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.93%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Jacob Hazel 85' goal
  • goal Danny Greenfield 19'
  • goal 20'
  • goal Mark Anderson 68'
National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Jack Lambert 16' goal
  • Jacob Hazel 20' goal
  • Jacob Hazel 48' goal
  • goal James Curtis 10'
  • goal Connor Shanks 75'
National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Jordan Thewlis 59' goal
  • goal Mark Beck 70'
National League North Gameweek 20
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luke Charman 26' goal
  • goal Glen Taylor 22'
National League North Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Glen Taylor 45'+2' goal
  • Stephen Thompson 45'+3' redcard
  • goal Luke Charman 14'
  • redcard Luke Charman 85'
National League North Gameweek 14
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm