National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
2 - 1
Darlington

Harris (21'), Ramshaw (26')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cornish (16')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 4-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawDarlington
46.81% (0.088000000000001 0.09)25.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.93% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.5% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (0.099000000000004 0.1)49.69% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.087999999999997 0.09)71.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (0.081000000000003 0.08)21.24% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (0.122 0.12)54.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.01100000000001 0.01)32.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)68.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 46.81%
    Darlington 27.93%
    Draw 25.26%
Spennymoor TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.81%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.93%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Darlington
1-2
Spennymoor
Hazel (85')
Greenfield (19'), Anderson (68')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Darlington
3-2
Spennymoor
Lambert (16'), Hazel (20', 48')
Curtis (10'), Shanks (75')
Aug 27, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Spennymoor
1-1
Darlington
Thewlis (59')
Beck (70')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Darlington
1-1
Spennymoor
Charman (26')
Taylor (22')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Spennymoor
1-1
Darlington
Taylor (45+2' pen.)
Thompson (45+3')
Charman (14')
Charman (85')