Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.