Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Darlington win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.