Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.