Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 0
Scarborough Ath

Hazlehurst (45+1'), Calveley (56'), Ubaezuonu (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: South Shields 2-1 Chorley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawScarborough Athletic
48.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.23% (0.012 0.01)25.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)51.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-0.041 -0.04)72.88% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)20.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)53.55% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 48.95%
    Scarborough Athletic 25.81%
    Draw 25.23%
ChorleyDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.81%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Scarborough Ath
1-1
Chorley
Weledji (59')
Ubaezuonu (27')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Chorley
2-3
Scarborough Ath
Blakeman (3'), Sampson (20')
Weledji (10'), Greenfield (69', 77')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Scarborough Ath
3-2
Chorley
Weledji (55'), Coulson (58'), Maloney (64')
Hall (71'), Ustabasi (90+2')