Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
0 - 3
Boston

FT(HT: 0-3)
Knowles (8' pen., 30', 43')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawBoston United
45.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.94% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)29.43% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)47.49% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (0.023 0.02)69.7% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (0.024999999999991 0.02)20.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (0.037999999999997 0.04)53.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.91% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 45.63%
    Boston United 29.43%
    Draw 24.93%
ChorleyDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 45.63%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 29.43%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Boston
2-2
Chorley
Rowe (24'), Ward (51')
Nolan (88'), Ubaezuonu (90+7')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Chorley
2-3
Boston
Smith (22'), Hall (78')
Wright (43', 51'), Chadwick (53')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Boston
1-4
Chorley
Crawford (80')
Ustabasi (21', 71'), Hall (24'), Whitehouse (74')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Chorley
2-1
Boston
Ustabasi (28', 67')
Abbott (54')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Boston
2-2
Chorley
Green (35'), Wright (90+3')
Tomlinson (53' pen.), Cardwell (67')