Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Banbury United win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.