Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.