National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
3 - 0
Tamworth

Roberts (2'), Carline (12'), Lilley (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawTamworth
34.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)36.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.51% (-0.126 -0.13)60.49% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)80.61% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)33.01% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)69.6% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)31.4% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)67.78% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 34.45%
    Tamworth 36.93%
    Draw 28.59%
Brackley TownDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.59%
0-1 @ 12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.93%

Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Tamworth
1-0
Brackley Town
Dolman (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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