Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.