National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
3 - 1
Chester

Hall (26', 47'), Newton (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tollitt (9')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 1-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-6 Chester
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawChester FC
34.05% (0.051000000000002 0.05)28.15%37.8% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.11% (0.011000000000003 0.01)58.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (0.040000000000006 0.04)32.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (0.044 0.04)68.98% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)30.07% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)66.21% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 34.05%
    Chester FC 37.8%
    Draw 28.14%
Brackley TownDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 11.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.8%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Chester
1-0
Brackley Town
Glendon (45' pen.)

Newton (85')
May 7, 2023 3.30pm
Chester
0-1
Brackley Town
Carline (79')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Brackley Town
1-1
Chester
Stead (53')
Willoughby (7')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Chester
2-0
Brackley Town
Hall (12'), Willoughby (17')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Brackley Town
0-0
Chester