National League North | Gameweek 44

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
1 - 6
Chester

Brain (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Burke (24', 77'), Peers (36'), Glendon (66'), Thomas (71' pen.), Tollitt (90+5')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Gloucester City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Chester 0-2 Alfreton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Gloucester City	Draw	Chester FC
15.32% ( 0.02)	19.92% ( 0)	64.75% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

0.01)

42% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59% (

0.02)

64.4% (

-0.02)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

0.03)

40.15% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

0.03)

76.79% (

-0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77% (

-0.01)

12.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.08% (

-0.01)

37.91% (

Score Analysis

Gloucester City 15.32%

Chester FC 64.74%

Draw 19.92%

Gloucester City	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.32%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.92%	0-2 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.93% 0-4 @ 3.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.51% Total : 64.74%