Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.