National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • goal Kennedy Digie 36'
  • goal Kennedy Digie 66'

Chester FC vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Buxton 1 - 4 Chester
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
George Glendon

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Alfreton 1 - 0 Rushall Olympic
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Chester FC 48.32% (-0.16)
Draw 26.47% (-0.02)
Alfreton Town 25.21% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.72% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.82% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 56.18% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 22.76% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 77.24% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 9.97% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 90.03% (-0.08)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 76.71% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.29%
Over 1.5 42.78%
Under 1.5 57.22% (-0.01)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.21% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 37.79% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 25.43% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 74.57% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Chester FC 48.32%
Draw 26.47%
Alfreton Town 25.21%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.47%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.07% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.21%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Edwards 23' goal
  • goal Declan Weeks 12'
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Anthony Dudley 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dayle Southwell 39'
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Tom Denton 28' goal
  • Tom Denton 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 16'
  • goal Joe Lynch 23'
National League North Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Hardy 30' goal
  • Danny Livesey 72' redcard
  • Declan Weeks 81' goal
  • Dan Cowan 90'+2' goal
  • goal Matt Rhead 80'
  • goal Matt Rhead 88'
National League North Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm