National League North | Gameweek 43

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
0 - 2
Alfreton

FT(HT: 0-1)

Digie (36', 66')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Buxton 1-4 Chester
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Rushall Olympic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Alfreton Town
48.32% ( -0.15)	26.47% ( -0.01)	25.21% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.82% (

0.16)

56.18% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.76% (

0.13)

77.24% (

-0.13)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

-0)

23.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.78%

57.22% (

-0)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.21% (

0.23)

37.79% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.43% (

0.23)

74.57% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 48.32%

Alfreton Town 25.21%

Draw 26.47%

Chester FC	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.32%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.21%