Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 0
Rushall Olympic

Thewlis (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Rushall Olympic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rushall Olympic had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Rushall Olympic win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawRushall Olympic
59.48% (-0.394 -0.39)22.74% (0.179 0.18)17.78% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-0.4 -0.4)49.77% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.358 -0.36)71.78% (0.355 0.36)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)16.37% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54% (-0.495 -0.49)45.99% (0.492 0.49)
Rushall Olympic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)41.74% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.79% (0.019000000000002 0.02)78.21% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 59.48%
    Rushall Olympic 17.78%
    Draw 22.73%
Alfreton TownDrawRushall Olympic
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 59.48%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.72% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 17.78%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rushall Olympic
1-1
Alfreton
Moore (62')
Waldock (35')
rhs 2.0


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