Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.