Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.