Middlesbrough logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bolton logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Bolton

Latte Lath (62'), Finch (74'), Burgzorg (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Middlesbrough and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, July 13 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBolton Wanderers
42.76% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)24.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)32.98% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.6% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.92% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.32% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.24% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)52.57% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.054000000000002 0.05)25.27% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.075000000000003 0.08)60.03% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.76%
    Bolton Wanderers 32.98%
    Draw 24.25%
MiddlesbroughDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 42.76%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.98%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bolton

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Bolton Wanderers
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Bolton
1-3
Middlesbrough
Charles (23')
Forrester (51'), Thomason (58'), Iredale (70'), Ashworth (90+2')
Crooks (33'), McGree (90+1'), Rogers (90+4')
Jones (47'), Crooks (48')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
0-2
Middlesbrough
Fletcher (16', 28')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Middlesbrough
2-0
Bolton
Saville (34'), Assombalonga (90')
Downing (65')

Magennis (64'), Lowe (68'), Wheater (80'), Williams (93')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Bolton
Braithwaite (49'), Assombalonga (67')
Howson (33'), Braithwaite (57')

Taylor (12'), Beevers (51'), Wheater (88')
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Bolton
0-3
Middlesbrough

Karacan (10')
Assombalonga (13', 71'), Johnson (78')
Traore (45')