Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 62' goal
  • Sonny Finch 74' goal
  • Delano Burgzorg 83' goal

Middlesbrough vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 13, 2024 12.00pm
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Middlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 13, 2024 2.00pm
West Brom 1 - 2 Bolton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 42.76% (-0.10)
Draw 24.26% (+0.01)
Bolton Wanderers 32.98% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.6% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.07% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.92% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.32% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.98% (-0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 79.76% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.24% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 47.42% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 52.57% (+0.06)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 74.73% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 25.27% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 39.97% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.03% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 42.76%
Draw 24.25%
Bolton Wanderers 32.98%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 42.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.25%
Bolton Wanderers
1-2 @ 7.73% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.55% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 32.98%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 23' goal
  • William Forrester 51' yellowcard
  • George Thomason 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 70' yellowcard
  • Zac Ashworth 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Crooks 33'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 47'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 48'
  • goal Riley McGree 90'+1'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2019 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 16'
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 28'
Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • George Saville 34' goal
  • Stewart Downing 65' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 90' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Magennis 64'
  • yellowcard Jason Lowe 68'
  • yellowcard David Wheater 80'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 93'
Championship
Dec 26, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonny Howson 33' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 49' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 57' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 67' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Taylor 12'
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 51'
  • yellowcard David Wheater 88'
Championship
Sep 9, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jem Karacan 10' yellowcard
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 13'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 45'
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 71'
  • goal Marvin Johnson 78'
Championship
Apr 16, 2016 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Vela 61' goal
  • Mark Davies 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Amos 80' yellowcard
  • Josh Vela 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emilio Nsue 33'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 36'
  • goal Jordan Rhodes 73'
  • goal Jordan Rhodes 91'