Championship Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
Apr 22, 2024 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT Riverside Stadium
Leeds
  • Isaiah Jones 7' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 30' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 35' yellowcard
  • Isaiah Jones 78' yellowcard
  • Jonny Howson 80' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 87' goal
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 14'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 18'
  • goal Willy Gnonto 39'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bamford 45'+2'
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 61'

Middlesbrough vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Ipswich 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 12.30pm
Leeds 0 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 32.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Leeds United 43.63% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 41.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 36.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.96% ▲ (+0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 75.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 24.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.57% ▲ (+0.05)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 80.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 32.44%
Draw 23.93%
Leeds United 43.63%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.93%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 43.63%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 19
Leeds
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 5 3
FT Elland Road
Middlesbrough
  • Daniel James 5' goal
  • Daniel James 5' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 7' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 7' goal
  • Joel Piroe 38' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 41' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 45'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 3'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 3'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 37'
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 37'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 45'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 54'
  • redcard Anfernee Dijksteel 62'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 67'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 83'
Championship Gameweek 35
Middlesbrough
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Leeds
  • George Saville 10' yellowcard
  • Harold Moukoudi 82' yellowcard
  • Adam Clayton 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mateusz Klich 45'
Championship Gameweek 19
Leeds
Nov 30, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Patrick Bamford 3' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 22' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Philips 24' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 45' goal
  • Helder Costa 67' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 73' goal
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 27'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 65'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Howson 75'
Championship Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
Feb 9, 2019 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
Leeds
  • Lewis Wing 47' goal
  • George Saville 59' yellowcard
  • Jonny Howson 98' yellowcard
  • goal Kalvin Phillips 101'
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 103'
Championship Gameweek 6
Leeds
Aug 31, 2018 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Middlesbrough
  • Samuel Saiz 34' yellowcard
  • Barry Douglas 53' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 73' yellowcard
  • Liam Cooper 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Muhamed Besic 55'
  • yellowcard Adam Clayton 62'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 80'
  • yellowcard Aden Flint 90'
Championship
Middlesbrough
Mar 2, 2018 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Leeds
  • Patrick Bamford 31' goal
  • Grant Leadbitter 34' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 36' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 68' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Saiz 34'
  • yellowcard Vurnon Anita 41'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 73'

Form Data

Ipswich 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Hull City 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Swansea
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Sheff Weds
Southampton 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Blackburn
Leeds 0 - 1 Blackburn
Leeds 0 - 0 Sunderland
Coventry 2 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 1 Hull City
Watford 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 0 Millwall