Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Watford

Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Watford
48.26% ( -1.45)	23.85% ( 0.43)	27.89% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.39% (

-1.18)

43.6% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34% (

-1.17)

65.99% (

1.17)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

-1.01)

18.21% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77% (

-1.75)

49.22% (

1.74)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.06% (

0.13)

28.94% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18% (

0.17)

64.82% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 48.26%

Watford 27.89%

Draw 23.84%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Watford
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.55% Total : 48.26%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.45% Total : 27.89%