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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Sunderland |
| 39.87% ( | 26.22% ( | 33.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( | 51.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( | 73.19% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( | 25.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( | 60.11% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( | 28.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% ( | 64.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.91% |