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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
1 - 0
Sunderland

Andrews (64')
Kayembe (10'), Lewis (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Nien (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
39.87% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)26.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)33.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.041 0.04)73.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)28.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (0.055 0.05)64.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.87%
    Sunderland 33.91%
    Draw 26.21%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.91%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sunderland
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sunderland
2-0
Watford
Huggins (43'), Ba (62')
Burstow (50')

Ngakia (27'), Dele-Bashiru (58'), Bachmann (74'), Louza (74'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (87')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Sunderland
2-2
Watford
O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
2-2
Sunderland
Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm