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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
| 41.92% | 26.96% | 31.12% |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% ( | 55.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% | 76.33% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( | 25.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% | 60.94% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( | 32.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( | 69.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.12% |