Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 0
Lille

Cafaro (6')
Cornud (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Andre (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 4-0 St Etienne
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-3 PSG
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lille
35.75% ( -0.14)	25.99% ( -0.03)	38.25% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 54.22% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

0.15)

50.16% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

0.13)

72.13% (

-0.13)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-0.01)

27.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55% (

-0.02)

62.45% (

0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

0.16)

25.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

0.22)

60.54% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 35.75%

Lille 38.26%

Draw 25.98%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.75%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.26%