Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.