Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 31, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
4 - 0
St Etienne

Camara (10'), Del Castillo (32' pen.), Ajorque (77'), Lala (84' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fomba (30'), Macon (56'), Batubinsika (66'), Cafaro (80'), Cornud (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 2-0 Brest
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Le Havre
Saturday, August 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Saint-Etienne
44.77% ( 0.08)	26.16% ( 0.08)	29.06% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 51.42% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

-0.39)

52.76% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

-0.33)

74.39% (

0.33)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-0.13)

23.47% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-0.19)

57.49% (

0.19)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-0.32)

32.81% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

-0.36)

69.37% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Brest 44.77%

Saint-Etienne 29.06%

Draw 26.15%

Brest	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.77%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.06%