Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Brest
60% ( 0.22)	21.45% ( -0.04)	18.55% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.9% (

-0.09)

43.1% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.5% (

-0.09)

65.5% (

0.09)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

0.04)

13.96% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.55% (

0.07)

41.44% (

-0.07)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

-0.25)

36.92% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-0.25)

73.71% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Napoli 59.99%

Brest 18.55%

Draw 21.45%

Napoli	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.99%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.45%	0-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.55%