/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Jesper Lindstrom
4'
-
Leonardo Spinazzola
10'
-
Walid Cheddira
16'
Napoli vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Mantova win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
72.34%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
16.05%
▼
(-0.05)
Mantova
11.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
55.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
32.39%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
45.97%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
54.02%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
27.14%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
72.86%
▼
(-0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
92.19%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
7.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
72.29%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
27.71%
▼
(-0.10)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5
60.65%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
39.35%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
23.95%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
76.05%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Napoli
72.34%
Draw
16.05%
Mantova
11.6%
Napoli
2-0
@
9.99%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 72.34%
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 72.34%
Draw
1-1
@
7.3%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.05%
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.05%
Mantova
1-2
@
3.41%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 11.6%
0-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 11.6%