Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
While you are inclined to back Napoli to record maximum points on their last game of a wretched year, this side have stunk for much of this season, winning just one in 10 in Serie A. Without a clean sheet since February and winless on home turf since early March, Lecce securing a point in Naples is a strong possibility on the final day. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
58.43% ( 0.17) | 22.2% ( -0.06) | 19.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
