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Napoli vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Napoli
58.43%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
22.2%
▼
(-0.06)
Lecce
19.36%
▼
(-0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
53.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.8%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
45.19%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
32.46%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
67.54%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
16.41%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
83.59%
▼
(-0.07)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
84.85%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
15.15%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
56.26%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
43.74%
▼
(-0.18)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
62.73%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
37.27%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
25.95%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
74.05%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Napoli
58.42%
Draw
22.2%
Lecce
19.36%
Napoli
1-0
@
10.65%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 58.42%
2-0 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 58.42%
Draw
1-1
@
10.51%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.2%
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.2%
Lecce
0-1
@
5.57%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 19.36%
1-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 19.36%
Head to Head
-
Antonino Gallo
36'
-
Ylber Ramadani
57'
-
Roberto D'Aversa
67'
-
Joan Gonzalez
81'
-
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
16'
-
Giovanni Simeone
17'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
33'
-
Victor Osimhen
51'
-
Gianluca Gaetano
88'
-
Matteo Politano
90'+4'
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
37'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
48'
-
Piotr Zielinski
57'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
73'
-
Mario Rui
80'
-
Diego Demme
84'
-
Jose Callejon
90'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
29'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
61'
-
Andrea Rispoli
66'
-
Mauro Vigorito
78'
-
Marco Mancosu
82'
-
Jacopo Petriccione
85'
Serie A
Gameweek
4
-
Panagiotis Tachtsidis
37'
-
Gabriel
38'
-
Andrea Tabanelli
49'
-
Marco Mancosu
61'
-
Faouzi Ghoulam
22'
-
Fernando Llorente
28'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
40'
-
Eljif Elmas
45'
-
Fabian
52'
-
Fabian
53'
-
Fernando Llorente
82'