Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
| 39.02% ( | 25.87% ( | 35.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( | 71.71% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( | 25.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( | 59.68% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( | 27.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( | 62.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.11% |