Ligue 1
Gameweek
34
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Christian Mawissa
53'
-
Mahdi Camara
48'
-
Jordan Amavi
54'
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Mathias Pereira Lage
79'
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Jordan Amavi
83'
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Kenny Lala
90'
Toulouse vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result
Toulouse
39.02%
▲
(+0.76)
Draw
25.87%
▲
(+0.19)
Brest
35.11%
▼
(-0.95)
Both Teams to Score:
54.56%
▼
(-0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.3%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 2.5
49.7%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 3.5
28.29%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 3.5
71.71%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 4.5
13.5%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 4.5
86.49%
▲
(+0.54)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
74.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
40.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
59.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
72.77%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 0.5
27.23%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 1.5
37.34%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 1.5
62.65%
▲
(+1.28)
Score analysis
Toulouse
39.02%
Draw
25.86%
Brest
35.11%
Toulouse
1-0
@
9.44%
▲
(+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.02%
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.02%
Draw
1-1
@
12.27%
▲
(+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
Brest
0-1
@
8.86%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.11%
1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.11%