Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2

Aug 25, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 0
Brest

Chavez (19'), Le Cardinal (45' og.)
Labeau (17'), Khusanov (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Amavi (25'), Faivre (67'), Magnetti (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, August 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Brest
53.88% ( 0.22)	23.04% ( -0.06)	23.08% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

0.1)

44.18% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

0.1)

66.56% (

-0.09)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

0.12)

16.34% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.07% (

0.21)

45.93% (

-0.2)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

-0.08)

33.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

-0.09)

69.67% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Lens 53.88%

Brest 23.08%

Draw 23.03%

Lens	Draw	Brest
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.88%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.08%