Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
41.68% ( 1.58)	22.97% ( -0.47)	35.35% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 65.13% (

1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64% (

2.16)

36% (

-2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.9% (

2.33)

58.09% (

-2.33)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

1.59)

17.84% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

2.67)

48.59% (

-2.67)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27% (

0.42)

20.73% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.65% (

0.65)

53.35% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Lens 41.68%

Bayer Leverkusen 35.35%

Draw 22.97%

Lens	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.35%