Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Lens
39.76% ( 0.06)	24.63%	35.61% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 58.98% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.98% (

-0)

44.03% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

-0)

66.41% (

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89% (

0.03)

22.11% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.52% (

0.04)

55.48% (

-0.04)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

-0.03)

24.28% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.36% (

-0.05)

58.64% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 39.76%

Lens 35.61%

Draw 24.62%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.76%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.61%