/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
-
Mees de Wit
15'
-
Ruben van Bommel
16'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
37'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
38'
-
Ibrahim Sadiq
51'
-
Dani de Wit
60'
-
Othman Boussaid
55'
-
Sam Lammers
71'
-
Victor Jensen
81'
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Utrecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Faz-alkmaar.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
64.95%
▼
(-1.66)
Draw
19.09%
▲
(+0.82)
FC Utrecht
15.95%
▲
(+0.85)
Both Teams to Score:
57.08%
▼
(-0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.2%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 2.5
36.8%
▲
(+2.18)
Over 3.5
41.03%
▼
(-2.41)
Under 3.5
58.97%
▲
(+2.41)
Over 4.5
22.97%
▼
(-1.99)
Under 4.5
77.03%
▲
(+1.99)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
89.34%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 0.5
10.65%
▲
(+1.02)
Over 1.5
65.49%
▼
(-2.32)
Under 1.5
34.51%
▲
(+2.32)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
63.88%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
36.12%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
27.1%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
72.9%
▲
(+0.34)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
64.95%
Draw
19.09%
FC Utrecht
15.95%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.83%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.55)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.32)
4-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.23)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 64.95%
2-0 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.55)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.32)
4-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.23)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 64.95%
Draw
1-1
@
8.78%
▲
(+0.49)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.40)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.09%
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.40)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.09%
FC Utrecht
1-2
@
4.47%
▲
(+0.21)
0-1 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 2% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.95%
0-1 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 2% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.95%