/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
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Ruben van Bommel
8'
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Ruben van Bommel
8'
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Ruben van Bommel
46'
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Ibrahim Sadiq
50'
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Kristijan Belic
59'
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Vangelis Pavlidis
66'
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Sem Steijn
5'
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Sem Steijn
5'
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Robin Propper
30'
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Robin Propper
30'
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
54.7%
▼
(-1.03)
Draw
21.69%
▲
(+0.28)
FC Twente
23.61%
▲
(+0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
61.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.65%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
37.35%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
40.43%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 3.5
59.57%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 4.5
22.49%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 4.5
77.51%
▲
(+0.40)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
86.3%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
13.69%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
59.08%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 1.5
40.92%
▲
(+0.94)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
71.13%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 0.5
28.87%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 1.5
35.26%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 1.5
64.73%
▼
(-0.45)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
54.7%
Draw
21.69%
FC Twente
23.61%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.71%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.7%
1-0 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.7%
Draw
1-1
@
9.76%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.69%
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.69%
FC Twente
1-2
@
6.07%
▲
(+0.15)
0-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.61%