Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 0
Vitesse

Jensen (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Boutrah (45+2'), Tielemans (58'), Tielemans (62'), Hadj Moussa (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 3-2 Sittard
Sunday, April 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Vitesse
75.64% ( 0.21)	14.23% ( 0.06)	10.13% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 58.03% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.61% (

-1.2)

27.39% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.02% (

-1.52)

47.98% (

1.52)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.97% (

-0.22)

6.03% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.03% (

-0.63)

22.97% (

0.63)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.76% (

-1.38)

38.24% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25% (

-1.36)

75% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 75.64%

Vitesse 10.13%

Draw 14.23%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Vitesse
2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 5% Total : 75.64%	1-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.23%	1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.55% Total : 10.13%