AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
GelreDome
Fortuna Sittard

Vitesse
3 - 2
Sittard

Aaronson (22', 76'), van Ginkel (68')
van Zwam (35'), Hendriks (48'), Pinto (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cordoba (44'), Lonwijk (50' pen.)
Duarte (10'), Voet (17'), Markelo (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: PSV 6-0 Vitesse
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawFortuna Sittard
42.24% (-0.554 -0.55)25.39% (0.117 0.12)32.37% (0.441 0.44)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76% (-0.368 -0.37)48.24% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (-0.337 -0.34)70.39% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.422 -0.42)22.74% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-0.634 -0.63)56.42% (0.64 0.64)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (0.105 0.11)28.23% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (0.129 0.13)63.93% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 42.24%
    Fortuna Sittard 32.37%
    Draw 25.39%
VitesseDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Sittard

Vitesse
11.1%
Draw
0.0%
Fortuna Sittard
88.9%
9
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
Sittard
3-1
Vitesse
Sierhuis (1', 23'), Noslin (47')
Dijks (45+2')
Manhoef (64')
Meulensteen (31'), Oroz (76')
Meulensteen (49')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sittard
2-0
Vitesse
Gladon (51'), Embalo (76')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 9
Vitesse
1-2
Sittard
Bialek (32')
Ferati (40'), Vita (80')
> Preview
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Sittard
1-2
Vitesse
Gladon (44' pen.)
Angha (12')
Manhoef (45+1'), Openda (63')
Doekhi (43')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Vitesse
1-1
Sittard
Frederiksen (49')
Huisman (30'), Bazoer (76')
Seuntjens (2')
Janssen (34'), Duarte (36'), Sambou (69')
> Preview