/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
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Paxten Aaronson
22'
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Giovanni van Zwam
35'
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Ramon Hendriks
48'
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Marco van Ginkel
68'
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Paxten Aaronson
76'
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Giovanni van Zwam
81'
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Mica Pinto
84'
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Deroy Duarte
10'
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Siemen Voet
17'
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Nathangelo Markelo
29'
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Inigo Cordoba
44'
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Justin Lonwijk
50'
Vitesse vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result
Vitesse
42.24%
▼
(-0.56)
Draw
25.39%
▲
(+0.12)
Fortuna Sittard
32.37%
▲
(+0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
55.46%
▼
(-0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.76%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 2.5
48.24%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 3.5
29.61%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 3.5
70.39%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 4.5
14.41%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
85.6%
▲
(+0.24)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
77.27%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 0.5
22.74%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 1.5
43.59%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 1.5
56.42%
▲
(+0.65)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
71.78%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
28.23%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
36.07%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
63.93%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Vitesse
42.24%
Draw
25.39%
Fortuna Sittard
32.37%
Vitesse
1-0
@
9.51%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.24%
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.24%
Draw
1-1
@
12.02%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
0-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
@
8.12%
▲
(+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.99)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.37%
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.99)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.37%