Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Lens
39.78% ( 0.01)	24.61% ( 0.01)	35.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.04% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

-0.02)

43.95% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67% (

-0.02)

66.33% (

0.02)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.01)

22.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

-0.01)

55.41% (

0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

-0.02)

24.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

-0.02)

58.59% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 39.78%

Lens 35.61%

Draw 24.6%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.61%