Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 at 6pm UK
Sportpark Am Hallo
Leverkusen logo

RWE
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Vonic (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (45'), Schick (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Rot-Weiss Essen and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Essen

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Last Game: RWE 0-0 Hoffenheim II
Sunday, July 14 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 25 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 13.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawBayer Leverkusen
13.61% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)18.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.16% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)37.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)60.13% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Rot-Weiss Essen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)39.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)76.59% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)10.15% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rot-Weiss Essen 13.61%
    Bayer Leverkusen 68.16%
    Draw 18.23%
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-0 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 13.61%
1-1 @ 8.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.23%
0-2 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 4.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 68.16%

How you voted: RWE vs B. Leverkusen

Rot-Weiss Essen
3.6%
Draw
7.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
89.3%
28
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 5.30pm
Third Round
RWE
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Kefkir (108'), Engelmann (117')
Engelmann (120')
Bailey (105')
Palacios (13'), Bailey (81')
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