/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Mathias Pereira Lage
16'
-
Jonas Martin
31'
-
Kenny Lala
45'+1'
-
Mahdi Camara
45'+6'
-
Jordan Amavi
74'
-
Mason Greenwood
3'
-
Derek Cornelius
7'
-
Luis Henrique
26'
-
Mason Greenwood
31'
-
Luis Henrique
48'
-
Elye Wahi
69'
Brest vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result
Brest
40.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
27.39%
▲
(+0.16)
Marseille
32.36%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
49.11%
▼
(-0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.63%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 2.5
56.37%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 3.5
22.61%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 3.5
77.39%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 4.5
9.88%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 4.5
90.12%
▲
(+0.30)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
72.56%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
27.44%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
37.08%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
62.92%
▲
(+0.39)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
67.69%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
32.31%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
31.18%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
68.82%
▲
(+0.46)
Score analysis
Brest
40.25%
Draw
27.39%
Marseille
32.35%
Brest
1-0
@
11.46%
▲
(+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.25%
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.25%
Draw
1-1
@
12.95%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.39%
0-0 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.39%
Marseille
0-1
@
10.01%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.35%
1-2 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.35%
