Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 5
Marseille

Camara (45+6')
Pereira Lage (16'), Martin (31'), Lala (45+1'), Amavi (74')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Greenwood (3', 31' pen.), Henrique (26', 48'), Wahi (69' pen.)
Cornelius (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Marseille
40.25% ( -0.02)	27.39% ( 0.15)	32.36% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.63% (

-0.61)

56.37% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61% (

-0.5)

77.39% (

0.49)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

-0.3)

27.44% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

-0.39)

62.92% (

0.39)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

-0.4)

32.31% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.18% (

-0.46)

68.82% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Brest 40.25%

Marseille 32.35%

Draw 27.39%

Brest	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.35%