Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Marseille
32.46% ( -1.01)	25.84% ( 0.08)	41.7% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.89% (

-0.61)

50.11% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.92% (

-0.54)

72.08% (

0.54)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.94)

29.08% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

-1.18)

65% (

1.18)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

0.2)

23.82% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

0.28)

57.99% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 32.46%

Marseille 41.7%

Draw 25.83%

Sunderland	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.46%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.7%