Marseille
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 0
Toulon

Kondogbia (38'), Harit (58' pen.), Hikram Abdallah (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Marseille and Toulon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Marseille 0-2 Nimes
Sunday, July 21 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Toulon

Last Game: Toulon 2-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, July 9 at 7pm in Pre-Season Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 86.13%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Toulon had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Toulon win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulon
86.13% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)9.32% (0.0319 0.03)4.55% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.45% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)24.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)44.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.18% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.72% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)16.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Toulon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.56% (0.139 0.14)50.43% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.04% (0.094999999999999 0.09)84.96% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 86.12%
    Toulon 4.55%
    Draw 9.32%
MarseilleDrawToulon
3-0 @ 11.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 9.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.03% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 5.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
6-0 @ 3.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.014 0.01)
6-1 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (0.01 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
7-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 86.12%
1-1 @ 4.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.41% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 9.32%
1-2 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 4.55%

rhs 2.0


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